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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+4.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+5.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+1.14vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.08+0.68vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.74+3.66vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.85-0.69vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.97+1.00vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.98-1.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.50-3.75vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.33-4.14vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.78-3.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.07-2.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.31-4.10vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.73-2.50vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.91-1.40vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.14Boston College2.260.2%1st Place
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4.68Roger Williams University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University1.850.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.75Connecticut College0.980.0%1st Place
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6.25Northeastern University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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8.46Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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10.99Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.310.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Vermont-0.730.0%1st Place
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14.6University of New Hampshire-1.910.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Grainger | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 18.6% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bo Angus | 14.6% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| reece schwartz | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Chatburn | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Straw | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| William Clay | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Zia Magill | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 26.7% | 19.5% | 6.4% |
| Jack Tresh | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 12.2% | 33.3% | 41.2% |
| Jingyi Chen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 28.8% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.