← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+3.83vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+4.72vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.06+3.79vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.64+7.77vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.47+0.30vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.84+1.67vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.01vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.22+1.63vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College1.39+0.36vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.90-2.74vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii0.90+0.02vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+0.14vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.56-7.78vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.39-4.70vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.56-6.39vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College0.36-3.28vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.92-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.83Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
6.72Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.79Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
11.77Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
-
5.3Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.67University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.63George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.36Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.26Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
11.02University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
-
12.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.22Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
9.3Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.61University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
12.72Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
15.66Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 6.2% |
| Ellie Harned | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte West | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 4.3% |
| Meara Conley | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 8.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 12.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.