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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+3.93vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+4.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+9.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+0.92vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.64+6.61vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56+2.77vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.39+2.21vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.47-2.59vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.36+3.83vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-2.55vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-3.98vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-2.30vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-5.55vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.39-4.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-5.96vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.90-4.97vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.92-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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4.92Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.61Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
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5.41Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.83Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.7George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.45Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.33Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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15.62Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 8.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 6.7% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte West | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 21.6% | 11.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.