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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+5.45vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.39+6.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+8.19vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+4.66vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64+5.98vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.90+2.73vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.47-3.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.36+2.69vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.56-2.24vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-7.10vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-5.59vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.88vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.39-5.81vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-9.16vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.92-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.98Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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5.53Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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15.62Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Meara Conley | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 8.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 7.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 10.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.4% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 14.0% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.