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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+4.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+4.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+3.61vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.56+3.41vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-0.73vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+2.84vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-1.23vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.29vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.39-0.91vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.36+1.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.03vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.63-8.01vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.39-4.64vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.90-4.08vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.64-4.15vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.92-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.41University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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5.27Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.77Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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4.99Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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11.85Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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15.64Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 7.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 12.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 6.8% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.