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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.00vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+4.81vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+5.96vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+5.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+7.03vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-0.99vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+2.80vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-1.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-1.51vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.47-4.66vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.39-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-4.46vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.92+2.52vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.90-2.87vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.64-3.22vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-3.27vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.56-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Harvard University2.560.2%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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9.16Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.8George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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15.52Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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11.78Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.73Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 16.6% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Meara Conley | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 8.6% |
| Laura Hamilton | 12.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 13.9% | 64.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.4% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 6.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 11.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.