← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.47+4.30vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.56+3.07vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.63+1.89vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.64+7.73vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.03+1.71vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.22+3.97vs Predicted
-
7Yale University1.90+0.37vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.06-1.37vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.56-0.28vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.90+0.86vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.84-3.41vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University1.39-2.84vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.36-0.23vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College1.39-5.79vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.75vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.92-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.3Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.07Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
4.89Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.73Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.71Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
9.97George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.37Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.63Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
-
10.86University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
-
7.59University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.16Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.77Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.21Dartmouth College1.390.0%1st Place
-
12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
15.63Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 5.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Foley | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 13.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte West | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Meara Conley | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 8.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.