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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+4.37vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.94+6.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+5.05vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.01+3.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.15-0.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.13-1.90vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.58-4.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.12+3.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii-0.15+1.79vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.06-3.35vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.57-5.94vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.64-3.67vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.80-5.39vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.44-0.36vs Predicted
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17George Washington University-0.12-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.19University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.71Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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3.97Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Hawaii-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.65Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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15.64Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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12.7George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Annie Samis | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Walshe | 20.9% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 6.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Stella Taherian | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
| Lola Kohl | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 62.1% |
| Eva Wieting | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.