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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.13+4.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.15+2.96vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+4.14vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+0.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.57+1.79vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.06+2.87vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.12+4.93vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.94+0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.80+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii-0.15+2.77vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.64-0.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.40vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-3.94vs Predicted
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14Rollins College1.01-5.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.01-9.47vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.44-0.34vs Predicted
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17George Washington University-0.12-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.96Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.01Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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8.87Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Hawaii-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.97Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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5.53Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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15.66Princeton University-1.440.0%1st Place
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12.7George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Kieding | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samara Walshe | 19.8% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Stella Taherian | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 10.8% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Emma Wang | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Annie Samis | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 62.9% |
| Eva Wieting | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.