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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+4.06vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.36+1.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+6.45vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.92+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii-0.11+6.31vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.87+2.24vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+2.91vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.11+2.53vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.11+1.97vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.28-4.26vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.14-1.34vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-4.38vs Predicted
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14Tulane University0.63-4.98vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.23-4.67vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.58-6.87vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.58-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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3.42Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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11.31University of Hawaii-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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10.97University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.02Tulane University0.630.0%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.13Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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16.82Princeton University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 24.8% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.2% |
| Callie Hammond | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Fear | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 0.4% |
| Sara Menesale | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 1.0% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Dias | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Terese Palomino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 94.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.