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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+4.14vs Predicted
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2Tulane University0.63+6.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.23+7.28vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+5.09vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.92-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.14+4.83vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.11+3.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.28-1.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.87-0.85vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74-1.56vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36-0.95vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.36-8.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.45vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.11-3.12vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College0.82-6.77vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii-0.11-4.45vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.58-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.68Tulane University0.630.0%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.09Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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4.56Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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6.47Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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3.58Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Hawaii-0.110.0%1st Place
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16.83Princeton University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Dias | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 0.7% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Callie Hammond | 15.9% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 0.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 0.4% |
| Elle Sykes | 22.7% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Sara Menesale | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 0.7% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 0.8% |
| Terese Palomino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 94.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.