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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.36+2.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+4.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.69+2.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.82+4.40vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.87+3.03vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58+3.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.60+1.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.74-0.22vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36-0.06vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.23-0.42vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.92-7.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.14-2.01vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.11-2.90vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.63-5.93vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.11-4.96vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.58-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.62Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.37Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College0.820.1%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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9.39Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Hawaii0.600.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.72Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.07Tulane University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.04University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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16.84Princeton University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 24.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Elin Reigstad | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 0.7% |
| Callie Hammond | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 1.9% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Dias | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Sara Menesale | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 0.6% |
| Terese Palomino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 94.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.