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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.92+3.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.36+1.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+7.10vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.74+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.60+4.05vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.69-0.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28-0.26vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58+1.11vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.87-0.63vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.63-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.11+0.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.11-1.06vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.23-2.35vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.82-5.53vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-5.41vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.14-5.09vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.58-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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3.47Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Hawaii0.600.0%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.11Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University0.630.0%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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10.65George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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16.84Princeton University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callie Hammond | 16.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 24.0% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Elin Reigstad | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Dias | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 0.8% |
| Hayden Clary | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 0.4% |
| Terese Palomino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.