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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+4.18vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.92+2.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.87+5.12vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.11+6.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+4.82vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.36-2.37vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.58+2.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.74+0.41vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.23+1.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.63-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.54-1.51vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.17-4.99vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-3.36vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.82-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii-0.11-3.46vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.11-5.11vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.58-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.56Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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3.63Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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9.17Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University0.740.1%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.85Tulane University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Hawaii-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.89University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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16.84Princeton University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Callie Hammond | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Elle Sykes | 21.7% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Dias | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 1.3% |
| Sara Menesale | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 0.5% |
| Terese Palomino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 95.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.