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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+4.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.54+7.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.36+0.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.87+4.43vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.92-0.21vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.58+3.69vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.82+1.59vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+2.14vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.27-1.91vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.11+1.09vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.23-0.17vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.17-4.62vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-4.01vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.60-4.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-5.18vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.11-4.81vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-3.58-0.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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3.63Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College0.870.1%1st Place
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4.79Stanford University1.920.2%1st Place
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9.69Rollins College0.580.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College0.820.0%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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7.09Tulane University1.270.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Hawaii0.600.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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16.86Princeton University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 20.6% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fear | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Callie Hammond | 15.4% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Matzky | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 0.2% |
| Blake Oberbauer | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 0.4% |
| Eliza Corral | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 1.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Elin Reigstad | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 0.3% |
| Allison Nystrom | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 0.4% |
| Sara Menesale | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 0.6% |
| Terese Palomino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 95.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.