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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.45vs Predicted
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3Williams College-1.62+0.82vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.38-0.42vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.45-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-3.54-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Middlebury College0.430.5%1st Place
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2.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.2%1st Place
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3.82Williams College-1.620.1%1st Place
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3.58Middlebury College-1.380.1%1st Place
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3.76Middlebury College-1.450.1%1st Place
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5.65University of New Hampshire-3.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 52.6% | 28.8% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 24.2% | 32.2% | 24.8% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Tess Halpern | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 27.3% | 30.0% | 7.0% |
| Toby Jennings | 8.2% | 12.8% | 24.8% | 24.9% | 25.6% | 3.7% |
| Helen Coughlin | 6.7% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 26.1% | 28.0% | 7.1% |
| Claire Komar | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.