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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.97+1.79vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+1.24vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.18+0.67vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University-0.04-0.55vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-3.21vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02+0.02vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.94-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Fordham University0.970.3%1st Place
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3.13Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.24Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.67Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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7.02University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.9William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erickson Rankin | 26.4% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 19.7% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| James Lilyquist | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 13.1% | 2.6% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| Mats Braaten | 25.1% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Seton Dill | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 27.9% | 51.4% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 36.9% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.