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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+3.17vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.18+2.70vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+0.14vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-1.17vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.97-2.16vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.04-1.62vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02+0.04vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.94-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.7Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.83St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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2.84Fordham University0.970.3%1st Place
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4.38Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.91William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 23.2% | 13.8% | 3.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 21.3% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 24.7% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Erickson Rankin | 25.2% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 10.6% | 1.6% |
| Seton Dill | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 28.3% | 51.9% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 10.3% | 35.6% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.