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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+2.05vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.97+0.84vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+1.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-1.15vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.18-0.34vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.04-1.59vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.94-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.84Fordham University0.970.3%1st Place
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4.26Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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2.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.2%1st Place
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4.66Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.41Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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6.94William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 22.4% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Erickson Rankin | 25.1% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Mats Braaten | 24.5% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 12.7% | 2.4% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 31.3% | 47.1% |
| Seton Dill | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 34.3% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.