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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.18+3.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+0.79vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+0.14vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07+0.28vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.97-2.12vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University-0.04-1.63vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.94-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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2.88Fordham University0.970.2%1st Place
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4.37Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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6.96William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Salzberg | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 24.5% | 11.1% | 2.5% |
| Mats Braaten | 25.6% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.1% | 19.8% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Erickson Rankin | 24.9% | 23.8% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 31.7% | 47.2% |
| Seton Dill | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 34.1% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.