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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.75vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+1.14vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.97-0.14vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07+0.27vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University-0.04-0.55vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.18-1.40vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.94-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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3.14Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.86Fordham University0.970.3%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.45Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.6Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.93William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 27.0% | 24.2% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.2% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Erickson Rankin | 25.2% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 9.5% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 12.0% | 2.9% |
| Harrison Rohne | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 31.1% | 47.1% |
| Seton Dill | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 34.2% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.