← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.73vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University0.97+0.87vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.79+0.11vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.07+0.25vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University-0.04-0.57vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-1.94+0.93vs Predicted
-
7Washington College-0.18-2.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-2.02-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
-
2.87Fordham University0.970.2%1st Place
-
3.11Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
-
4.25Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
-
4.43Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
-
6.93William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
-
4.69Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 28.2% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Erickson Rankin | 24.4% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.5% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| James Lilyquist | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 30.9% | 45.9% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 23.7% | 13.2% | 3.6% |
| Seton Dill | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 34.0% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.