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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+1.77vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.97+0.86vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07+1.27vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79-0.85vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University-0.04-0.57vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.18-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02+0.01vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.94-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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2.86Fordham University0.970.2%1st Place
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4.27Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.43Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.61Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.9William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 27.0% | 22.5% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erickson Rankin | 24.4% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 20.0% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 23.5% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Seton Dill | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 29.4% | 51.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 9.4% | 37.0% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.