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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+2.06vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.97+0.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-0.19vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.07+0.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University-0.04-0.56vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.18-1.39vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.94-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.86Fordham University0.970.2%1st Place
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2.81St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech0.070.1%1st Place
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4.44Old Dominion University-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.61Washington College-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.94William and Mary-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 20.9% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Erickson Rankin | 24.5% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 26.7% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 19.5% | 8.4% | 1.5% |
| Jonah Willoughby | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 22.9% | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Salzberg | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 23.1% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 31.1% | 47.1% |
| Seton Dill | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 34.4% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.