← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology2.02+0.56vs Predicted
-
2University of Delaware-1.22+3.06vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-0.23+0.92vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University0.72-1.25vs Predicted
-
5Ocean County College-0.11-1.12vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University-0.09-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.56Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.6%1st Place
-
5.06University of Delaware-1.220.0%1st Place
-
3.92Monmouth University-0.230.1%1st Place
-
2.75Drexel University0.720.2%1st Place
-
3.88Ocean County College-0.110.1%1st Place
-
3.83Villanova University-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Geary | 61.7% | 25.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Devon Gonzalez | 1.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 55.6% |
| Matthew Marciano | 7.6% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 22.9% | 25.5% | 15.1% |
| Jason Sinclair | 16.8% | 30.0% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
| Michael Suchernick | 6.6% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 21.0% | 23.7% | 15.1% |
| Craig Williams | 5.8% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 22.8% | 24.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.