Race 1A

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Satterberg 10.7% 12.5% 13.5% 9.2% 10.1% 10.3% 8.6% 7.6% 5.6% 4.1% 3.5% 1.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Thomas Sitzmann 26.3% 22.2% 14.1% 12.9% 8.3% 6.2% 3.8% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Mueller 7.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.5% 8.0% 9.2% 9.5% 9.2% 7.1% 7.9% 5.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.8%
Tyler Lamm 9.1% 10.2% 11.7% 10.3% 11.6% 10.0% 7.8% 7.4% 7.2% 5.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Nathan Jensen 5.8% 8.1% 7.2% 10.8% 8.2% 9.3% 9.3% 8.9% 7.2% 7.2% 7.5% 5.9% 3.4% 1.2%
Harrison Strom 7.9% 7.0% 8.2% 9.4% 9.5% 8.5% 9.3% 7.4% 9.7% 6.1% 7.6% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Max Sigel 4.6% 5.2% 6.3% 5.7% 4.8% 7.4% 6.5% 9.7% 7.3% 9.5% 9.6% 9.8% 10.1% 3.5%
Skylor Sweet 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 8.4% 9.6% 9.3% 10.1% 12.8% 8.3%
Gavin Hudson 5.3% 2.9% 4.8% 5.0% 5.6% 5.9% 7.9% 9.1% 8.4% 10.6% 9.5% 12.8% 7.3% 4.9%
Porter Bell 3.3% 3.3% 4.1% 3.5% 6.5% 5.1% 7.7% 6.4% 8.9% 8.8% 10.0% 12.5% 12.4% 7.5%
Michelangelo Vecchio 5.7% 6.1% 4.7% 7.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 9.1% 8.4% 5.9% 7.2% 2.3%
Peter Foley 6.1% 5.2% 6.9% 7.7% 8.6% 7.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.7% 5.8% 2.1%
Cooper Smith 2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 4.4% 4.1% 4.8% 6.8% 8.2% 10.0% 13.6% 18.5% 15.7%
Lucas Escandon 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.4% 3.5% 5.4% 6.7% 7.2% 13.8% 51.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.