Race 2A

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Satterberg 11.7% 11.0% 12.5% 10.3% 10.4% 9.7% 8.4% 7.4% 5.4% 5.3% 3.7% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Ben Mueller 9.2% 9.7% 8.6% 9.3% 8.9% 9.0% 9.8% 10.2% 6.5% 7.1% 6.2% 2.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Tyler Lamm 10.8% 12.4% 10.2% 9.3% 9.5% 10.4% 8.2% 8.1% 6.1% 6.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4%
Peter Foley 4.8% 6.7% 7.7% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 9.0% 9.1% 9.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.5% 4.7% 1.7%
Harrison Strom 6.0% 8.3% 7.3% 10.8% 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 8.4% 7.3% 6.9% 5.8% 3.1% 0.9%
Michelangelo Vecchio 6.1% 4.5% 7.3% 6.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.7% 8.3% 9.3% 8.9% 7.3% 8.1% 6.5% 2.3%
Nathan Jensen 7.9% 8.9% 10.2% 8.5% 7.7% 9.9% 8.5% 9.2% 8.4% 6.4% 6.5% 3.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Cooper Smith 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 3.8% 4.7% 4.2% 6.2% 7.4% 10.1% 12.6% 17.5% 18.1%
Thomas Sitzmann 24.7% 20.4% 15.0% 12.8% 9.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Skylor Sweet 3.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 4.3% 6.6% 6.2% 5.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 13.3% 11.9% 7.3%
Max Sigel 3.6% 4.6% 4.3% 5.1% 6.9% 5.9% 7.6% 8.6% 7.9% 9.1% 9.5% 11.0% 10.9% 5.0%
Gavin Hudson 3.9% 3.5% 4.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.5% 7.0% 8.4% 8.9% 9.8% 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 5.6%
Porter Bell 4.1% 3.4% 4.0% 5.6% 5.7% 4.6% 6.7% 7.6% 8.8% 8.0% 10.2% 13.2% 12.0% 6.1%
Lucas Escandon 0.9% 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 6.8% 7.3% 15.3% 50.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.