Race 3A

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Foley 5.4% 7.1% 7.6% 6.7% 10.2% 7.7% 6.9% 9.6% 9.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.7% 5.9% 1.9%
Max Sigel 4.0% 5.9% 5.9% 6.1% 6.9% 6.5% 6.1% 6.1% 9.7% 8.9% 11.4% 10.6% 7.5% 4.4%
Thomas Sitzmann 25.4% 21.6% 14.4% 11.8% 9.3% 6.1% 5.2% 3.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Hudson 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 7.4% 7.6% 6.9% 9.4% 9.0% 11.5% 9.3% 10.3% 4.4%
Skylor Sweet 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 7.5% 8.6% 10.0% 12.7% 13.5% 7.0%
Ben Mueller 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 10.9% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 8.8% 7.5% 6.9% 5.8% 4.7% 3.7% 1.1%
Tyler Lamm 12.3% 10.2% 11.3% 10.7% 8.8% 9.6% 10.1% 7.8% 6.4% 5.5% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Harrison Strom 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 8.1% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 7.5% 7.7% 5.9% 5.4% 3.6% 1.1%
Michelangelo Vecchio 6.2% 4.9% 6.5% 5.8% 8.3% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 8.2% 9.6% 8.3% 8.5% 4.8% 2.0%
Lucas Escandon 1.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 3.0% 4.8% 5.0% 9.4% 13.4% 53.4%
Nathan Jensen 7.5% 6.8% 8.6% 9.7% 8.4% 8.3% 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 7.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5%
Ryan Satterberg 9.4% 12.6% 10.7% 10.8% 10.9% 9.8% 9.2% 7.3% 5.7% 5.3% 4.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Porter Bell 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6% 5.7% 6.1% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 10.6% 9.7% 12.3% 7.1%
Cooper Smith 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 5.1% 5.1% 6.1% 5.5% 7.5% 9.3% 13.8% 19.4% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.