Race 5A

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Thomas Sitzmann 26.0% 21.1% 15.6% 9.9% 10.4% 5.3% 4.3% 2.7% 2.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Satterberg 11.6% 12.7% 10.2% 11.1% 9.5% 11.1% 9.3% 7.0% 7.5% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5%
Tyler Lamm 9.7% 11.1% 11.2% 9.9% 10.5% 9.8% 8.5% 8.2% 6.3% 6.1% 4.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Michelangelo Vecchio 4.2% 7.1% 7.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.8% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 8.7% 7.9% 7.6% 5.7% 2.0%
Harrison Strom 6.6% 8.1% 7.7% 10.1% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 8.0% 8.7% 7.0% 7.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4%
Nathan Jensen 7.3% 6.2% 8.1% 10.1% 8.8% 9.3% 9.3% 7.7% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 6.0% 3.6% 1.1%
Peter Foley 7.5% 6.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 8.9% 7.8% 8.8% 8.5% 9.6% 7.0% 7.2% 4.0% 1.3%
Porter Bell 3.6% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 6.2% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 10.8% 10.6% 12.8% 7.8%
Gavin Hudson 4.6% 3.9% 4.8% 4.6% 6.2% 5.4% 7.3% 9.5% 8.9% 10.0% 9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 5.4%
Lucas Escandon 1.0% 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 4.2% 5.7% 10.3% 14.3% 52.5%
Max Sigel 3.6% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 8.1% 8.5% 8.7% 11.4% 10.1% 10.0% 5.4%
Ben Mueller 8.0% 7.0% 9.5% 11.6% 9.2% 8.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.3% 6.4% 5.9% 3.3% 3.4% 0.6%
Skylor Sweet 4.2% 3.8% 4.2% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.6% 9.2% 9.8% 9.8% 12.5% 11.5% 6.5%
Cooper Smith 2.1% 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 3.5% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 5.3% 7.4% 8.9% 13.2% 20.0% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.