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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.09+6.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+3.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+3.27vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.53-0.68vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.12+2.37vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.77+2.47vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.68vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.72-2.56vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.37-2.48vs Predicted
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101.75-1.48vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+1.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.59-3.08vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.32Stanford University3.530.3%1st Place
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7.37Florida State University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.521.750.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.81Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 25.1% | 22.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Max Sigel | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Lucas Escandon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 54.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 6.5% |
| Porter Bell | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.