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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+5.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+3.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.77+5.34vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+2.55vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+0.52vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.53-2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.70+1.32vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.37-1.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09-1.55vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.12-2.68vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.59-2.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-3.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-0.94vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.13-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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8.34Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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3.42Stanford University3.530.3%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island1.700.0%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.32Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Hudson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 25.5% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Severson | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Peter Foley | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Porter Bell | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Lucas Escandon | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 52.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.