Race 1B

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Sheppard 6.3% 5.0% 8.0% 9.4% 9.1% 8.5% 8.0% 10.4% 10.3% 9.7% 6.4% 5.4% 2.7% 0.8%
James Brock 20.3% 17.4% 14.9% 13.0% 11.1% 8.3% 6.0% 4.0% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Raam Fox 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.4% 8.9% 10.8% 9.9% 10.1% 6.3% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Tyler Nash 8.5% 10.7% 11.0% 9.5% 11.7% 11.1% 10.1% 6.7% 7.8% 5.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jacob Posner 9.0% 11.3% 12.3% 10.8% 12.0% 9.8% 9.4% 8.2% 7.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 5.2% 6.2% 6.6% 8.0% 7.2% 9.1% 10.1% 9.1% 9.9% 9.2% 9.4% 5.9% 3.4% 0.7%
Reade Decker 21.2% 18.6% 15.1% 12.8% 10.2% 9.1% 5.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Teo 5.5% 5.6% 7.2% 5.7% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 8.7% 11.3% 9.1% 9.7% 7.6% 5.4% 0.8%
Kamron Kaiser 2.5% 2.0% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.7% 4.6% 5.8% 9.1% 13.8% 20.0% 17.5% 10.3%
Oliver Keeves 5.8% 7.6% 6.4% 8.9% 9.8% 8.6% 10.0% 10.8% 9.6% 9.9% 6.1% 5.0% 1.1% 0.4%
William Hurd 3.9% 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 5.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.1% 12.0% 9.8% 6.5% 1.7%
Ade Larsen 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 5.9% 10.8% 22.9% 46.6%
Carter Anderson 3.4% 2.4% 3.2% 4.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 8.2% 9.1% 11.9% 14.0% 14.0% 10.6% 5.1%
Charlie Walton 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.6% 5.2% 7.3% 12.8% 27.2% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.