Race 2B

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Brock 19.8% 18.9% 14.2% 11.8% 10.1% 7.7% 6.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Reade Decker 20.6% 18.1% 15.0% 13.5% 11.6% 8.1% 4.6% 3.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Keeves 6.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.3% 8.0% 10.2% 9.7% 9.3% 10.8% 8.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Ben Sheppard 4.1% 6.5% 9.1% 7.7% 7.0% 8.0% 9.7% 11.3% 9.7% 9.5% 8.3% 5.1% 3.4% 0.6%
Tyler Nash 8.8% 8.3% 12.0% 12.1% 10.0% 11.4% 8.8% 9.5% 6.6% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Raam Fox 7.5% 6.1% 5.8% 9.8% 8.3% 10.0% 9.7% 10.2% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Carter Anderson 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 3.3% 5.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.9% 9.0% 10.6% 12.8% 16.0% 11.4% 3.3%
Jacob Posner 11.7% 11.8% 10.7% 11.1% 10.6% 11.0% 8.6% 7.1% 6.5% 5.7% 3.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Kamron Kaiser 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 1.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 7.7% 7.9% 12.7% 21.3% 17.7% 10.5%
Max Teo 4.8% 4.7% 4.5% 7.7% 7.3% 8.2% 9.5% 9.9% 10.1% 10.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.4% 1.6%
Ade Larsen 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 4.1% 5.3% 10.2% 23.3% 46.8%
Charlie Walton 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.0% 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.4% 7.2% 12.1% 28.2% 34.8%
Ethan Danielson 6.5% 6.7% 6.2% 6.0% 8.7% 9.1% 11.0% 10.7% 9.3% 8.1% 8.1% 6.2% 2.9% 0.5%
William Hurd 4.0% 4.2% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 5.7% 7.8% 8.9% 10.4% 12.6% 11.6% 9.1% 5.0% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.