Race 3B

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Sheppard 6.4% 6.0% 8.2% 6.9% 10.5% 8.0% 8.6% 10.9% 9.5% 8.7% 6.4% 5.9% 3.4% 0.6%
Tyler Nash 10.6% 11.9% 9.6% 11.7% 9.4% 10.7% 10.1% 8.5% 6.8% 5.6% 2.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Kamron Kaiser 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 1.5% 3.8% 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 7.5% 13.1% 18.4% 19.2% 10.5%
Jacob Posner 10.2% 12.1% 10.9% 10.9% 10.2% 10.9% 10.0% 6.9% 7.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
William Hurd 3.2% 3.9% 5.8% 5.0% 7.1% 6.3% 8.2% 9.8% 10.1% 12.0% 9.9% 10.1% 6.4% 2.2%
Oliver Keeves 6.3% 6.5% 8.3% 9.1% 8.4% 9.4% 8.3% 11.5% 8.4% 8.4% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5% 0.3%
James Brock 19.2% 18.0% 16.8% 11.1% 11.4% 8.3% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 7.1% 6.4% 6.9% 7.4% 7.1% 8.0% 10.0% 7.9% 10.1% 9.9% 8.6% 6.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Reade Decker 18.4% 18.2% 14.4% 14.9% 9.9% 8.7% 6.8% 3.4% 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Raam Fox 6.0% 6.8% 6.6% 9.1% 9.5% 9.2% 7.9% 11.5% 10.2% 8.1% 8.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.8%
Max Teo 5.3% 4.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.8% 8.1% 10.0% 7.4% 11.6% 11.3% 10.9% 6.9% 4.1% 1.1%
Carter Anderson 2.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 5.0% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 11.4% 14.1% 14.1% 11.6% 4.8%
William Gear 1.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 1.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.8% 7.6% 13.0% 26.9% 32.4%
Ade Larsen 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.9% 5.9% 11.8% 20.4% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.