Race 4B

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Brock 19.8% 18.0% 16.0% 11.4% 9.7% 8.5% 5.7% 5.0% 2.6% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 5.3% 7.1% 8.5% 7.6% 8.3% 7.0% 10.8% 10.7% 10.4% 7.8% 7.9% 5.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Reade Decker 21.1% 18.1% 15.0% 12.9% 11.0% 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Nash 9.1% 10.3% 10.4% 10.3% 11.2% 12.3% 8.7% 7.9% 7.5% 6.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Jacob Posner 9.2% 9.8% 12.4% 13.1% 9.9% 10.5% 9.5% 8.9% 6.5% 5.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Raam Fox 6.6% 5.9% 8.3% 8.1% 8.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.3% 9.0% 9.7% 7.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5%
Ben Sheppard 6.7% 7.5% 6.9% 7.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 9.1% 8.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Oliver Keeves 7.1% 8.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.0% 10.0% 10.0% 7.8% 7.7% 7.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Carter Anderson 3.0% 3.2% 1.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.4% 6.4% 9.2% 12.1% 15.2% 15.4% 11.7% 4.6%
Max Teo 5.1% 4.6% 4.5% 6.8% 7.3% 7.6% 9.9% 8.9% 11.0% 10.0% 10.5% 8.6% 3.9% 1.3%
William Hurd 4.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.2% 8.1% 6.4% 9.4% 10.5% 11.9% 9.1% 11.4% 6.4% 1.7%
Kamron Kaiser 1.2% 1.5% 3.2% 2.0% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 5.2% 6.8% 8.9% 15.0% 17.7% 17.0% 11.2%
William Gear 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 4.3% 6.5% 13.0% 28.4% 32.8%
Ade Larsen 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 4.8% 10.1% 22.3% 46.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.