Race 5B

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Brock 18.8% 17.7% 16.7% 11.9% 9.5% 8.8% 6.9% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Posner 11.5% 12.5% 10.8% 13.3% 10.7% 10.5% 10.3% 7.0% 5.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Pearse Dowd 11.6% 10.3% 10.4% 12.6% 12.6% 9.8% 10.5% 7.1% 8.2% 3.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Tyler Nash 8.2% 10.9% 11.4% 10.7% 11.5% 10.6% 9.3% 10.2% 6.8% 5.4% 2.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Reade Decker 17.3% 17.9% 17.0% 13.9% 9.7% 8.9% 7.3% 3.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 5.6% 5.2% 6.4% 7.5% 8.6% 8.8% 10.7% 11.0% 10.1% 9.1% 8.5% 5.7% 2.5% 0.3%
Raam Fox 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.5% 11.3% 8.9% 9.3% 11.0% 8.7% 5.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
Ben Sheppard 6.8% 6.3% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 9.0% 10.7% 9.8% 8.9% 8.6% 5.3% 2.4% 0.2%
William Hurd 4.6% 3.7% 3.9% 5.7% 6.1% 7.1% 8.0% 10.8% 12.8% 13.4% 11.2% 7.5% 3.6% 1.6%
Carter Anderson 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 5.2% 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 11.7% 14.3% 13.8% 10.1% 4.8%
Kamron Kaiser 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 2.2% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.4% 11.4% 14.7% 17.4% 16.7% 8.5%
Buck Rathbun 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.6% 2.1% 4.0% 6.8% 7.5% 10.2% 14.8% 17.3% 15.9% 10.2%
Ade Larsen 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 2.6% 2.6% 4.3% 7.3% 11.6% 21.5% 43.2%
Charlie Walton 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 1.6% 2.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.2% 14.7% 25.5% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.