Race 7B

34th-captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Brock 18.7% 18.7% 14.8% 12.7% 10.3% 7.8% 6.5% 5.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Pearse Dowd 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% 10.9% 10.7% 11.7% 9.1% 8.9% 5.4% 3.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Raam Fox 7.1% 7.6% 9.1% 7.5% 7.7% 9.1% 10.2% 11.2% 10.8% 8.5% 6.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Tyler Nash 8.8% 10.7% 9.7% 12.9% 10.5% 11.9% 8.4% 8.1% 8.3% 5.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Ethan Danielson 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 11.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.5% 8.8% 5.6% 2.3% 0.5%
Ben Sheppard 5.3% 5.3% 6.8% 7.7% 8.1% 10.4% 11.1% 9.1% 12.3% 7.7% 8.3% 5.2% 2.7% 0.0%
Reade Decker 21.3% 18.3% 14.3% 13.9% 10.9% 9.1% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Hurd 5.0% 3.9% 5.8% 5.6% 6.4% 6.7% 8.2% 10.2% 10.9% 11.3% 10.7% 8.3% 6.0% 1.0%
Jacob Posner 9.6% 10.4% 11.6% 11.1% 12.7% 10.8% 8.6% 9.4% 7.3% 4.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Kamron Kaiser 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 5.1% 6.6% 7.4% 11.1% 13.0% 18.0% 15.5% 10.3%
Charles Wilkinson 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 4.1% 5.3% 4.7% 8.9% 7.8% 9.2% 13.5% 13.3% 13.0% 9.2% 3.0%
Charlie Walton 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 9.4% 14.3% 25.2% 32.0%
Buck Rathbun 2.4% 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 7.5% 11.5% 13.1% 17.9% 15.8% 10.0%
Ade Larsen 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.8% 5.2% 7.8% 10.8% 21.1% 42.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.