← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.31+0.66vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University-0.61+2.02vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.18-0.13vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.97+0.59vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.91-0.50vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University-1.18-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.69-0.07vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University-2.42-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.66Texas A&M University at Galveston1.310.6%1st Place
-
4.02Clemson University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
2.87Texas A&M University at Galveston0.180.2%1st Place
-
4.59Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.910.1%1st Place
-
4.87Texas A&M University-1.180.1%1st Place
-
6.93Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.690.0%1st Place
-
6.56Texas A&M University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maclaren Bell | 56.1% | 28.0% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cameron | 7.8% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Blake Polsen | 18.2% | 27.5% | 23.7% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 5.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 12.8% | 2.8% |
| Maddy Lee | 5.3% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Drew Gourley | 5.3% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 6.0% |
| Gage Krahulik | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 52.9% |
| Menya Bird | 0.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 31.4% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.