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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+8.00vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+7.75vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+5.98vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90+6.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+2.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.38+3.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+1.54vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.34+2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.90-0.45vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-4.97vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.39-6.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-4.97vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.28-7.33vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.78-10.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.94Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.08Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.59Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.99Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.67Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.13College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% |
| Megan Magill | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Margaret Tautz | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 28.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.