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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.45+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.12-0.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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2.32University of California at Berkeley0.450.3%1st Place
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2.66University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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3.35Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 42.1% | 30.5% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Selah Dorn | 27.9% | 29.9% | 26.4% | 14.3% | 1.5% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 20.4% | 23.6% | 28.9% | 23.8% | 3.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 43.4% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.