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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.12+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.45+0.33vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.85-1.06vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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2.33University of California at Berkeley0.450.3%1st Place
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1.94Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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3.35Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lhotse Rowell | 19.6% | 24.4% | 28.5% | 23.3% | 4.2% |
| Selah Dorn | 26.6% | 31.4% | 26.1% | 14.5% | 1.4% |
| Adam Turloff | 43.0% | 29.6% | 18.5% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 9.6% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 44.9% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.