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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.45+1.38vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.85-0.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.12-1.34vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.19-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of California at Berkeley0.450.3%1st Place
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1.99Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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3.35Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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2.66University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selah Dorn | 28.0% | 27.8% | 25.9% | 14.7% | 3.6% |
| Adam Turloff | 41.8% | 27.4% | 22.3% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 10.0% | 12.9% | 21.4% | 43.8% | 11.9% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 18.5% | 28.5% | 26.2% | 22.5% | 4.3% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 11.5% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.