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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.45+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.12-0.32vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.19-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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2.33University of California at Berkeley0.450.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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3.38Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 42.1% | 30.2% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 1.4% |
| Selah Dorn | 27.9% | 29.7% | 26.1% | 14.6% | 1.7% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 20.4% | 23.3% | 28.3% | 24.0% | 4.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 8.3% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 41.3% | 13.8% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.3% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.