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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.85+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.12+0.75vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.45-1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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3.02Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.41University of California at Berkeley0.450.3%1st Place
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4.76University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 40.0% | 28.1% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 2.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 17.9% | 23.9% | 27.5% | 26.6% | 4.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 14.8% | 17.4% | 25.1% | 36.5% | 6.2% |
| Selah Dorn | 26.2% | 28.8% | 24.6% | 18.5% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.