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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.45+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.12-0.25vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.85-1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.43University of California at Berkeley0.450.2%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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2.02Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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4.75University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 14.1% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 35.1% | 8.1% |
| Selah Dorn | 24.3% | 30.6% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 2.2% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 19.9% | 21.4% | 26.3% | 28.9% | 3.5% |
| Adam Turloff | 40.5% | 28.4% | 20.3% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 1.2% | 1.2% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.