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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+2.07vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.85+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.45-0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.12-1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.19-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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2.06Western Washington University0.850.4%1st Place
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2.43University of California at Berkeley0.450.3%1st Place
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2.76University of Washington0.120.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Oregon-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 14.3% | 17.8% | 24.5% | 33.6% | 9.8% |
| Adam Turloff | 38.3% | 29.3% | 21.8% | 9.7% | 0.9% |
| Selah Dorn | 27.5% | 25.9% | 25.1% | 19.0% | 2.5% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 18.7% | 24.5% | 24.2% | 27.6% | 5.0% |
| Euseekers Williams | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.