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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.48+2.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.13+0.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.35-0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.55-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.88Western Washington University-0.130.2%1st Place
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2.27Western Washington University0.350.4%1st Place
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3.34University of Washington-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Washington-0.410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Unruh | 14.8% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 22.9% | 26.9% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 20.2% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 14.5% |
| Alexander Turloff | 36.5% | 24.7% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Chase Carson | 12.9% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 28.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 15.6% | 18.2% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.