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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+0.81vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.16+0.61vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.60+0.13vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.26-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.04-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of Washington0.660.5%1st Place
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2.61University of Washington-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.13Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.84Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.61University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 50.6% | 27.2% | 14.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| matthew Huskins | 20.7% | 29.4% | 24.4% | 19.2% | 6.3% |
| Ocean Smith | 14.5% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 24.9% | 17.4% |
| Jack Beeson | 5.7% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 41.5% |
| Kieran Lyons | 8.5% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 26.5% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.