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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+0.82vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.16+0.62vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.60+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04-0.40vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.26-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of Washington0.660.5%1st Place
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2.62University of Washington-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.12Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.85Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 50.0% | 27.7% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| matthew Huskins | 20.8% | 28.9% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 6.7% |
| Ocean Smith | 14.2% | 18.3% | 25.5% | 25.3% | 16.7% |
| Kieran Lyons | 7.7% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 26.1% | 31.8% |
| Jack Beeson | 7.3% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.