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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+0.82vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.60+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.04+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16-1.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.26-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of Washington0.660.5%1st Place
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3.14Western Washington University-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Washington-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 50.0% | 27.8% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Ocean Smith | 12.2% | 19.4% | 27.7% | 23.4% | 17.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 9.0% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 27.7% | 31.6% |
| matthew Huskins | 21.1% | 28.7% | 24.5% | 18.2% | 7.5% |
| Jack Beeson | 7.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 24.8% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.